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V-Lab

BB Biotech AG Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

19,471.17

decreased by 1,353.62

1 Week

22,244.43

increased by 1,419.64

1 Month

23,276.74

increased by 2,451.95

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of BB Biotech AG ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 16, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 26 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6313
6.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1503
22.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8229
126.06***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.0614
4.82***
γ2-0.1129
-5.56***
γ30.1096
6.73***
γ4-0.1041
-5.34***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

26 days