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UBS (CH) Property Fund - Direct LivingPlus Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

4,075.53

decreased by 302.99

1 Week

3,949.94

decreased by 428.58

1 Month

3,974.78

decreased by 403.74

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 09:00 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of UBS (CH) Property Fund - Direct LivingPlus ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2007 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.9705
13.31***
αARCH0.1133
10.20***
βGARCH0.8223
41.37***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0039
3.36***

0.936

Persistence

10d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9705
13.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1133
10.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8223
41.37***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0039
3.36***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

10 days