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UBS (CH) Property Fund - Direct LivingPlus Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

3,708.25

decreased by 156.87

1 Week

3,890.31

increased by 25.19

1 Month

4,834.05

increased by 968.93

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of UBS (CH) Property Fund - Direct LivingPlus ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2007 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.9757
13.47***
αARCH0.1142
10.19***
βGARCH0.8192
40.39***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0042
3.56***

0.933

Persistence

10d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9757
13.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1142
10.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8192
40.39***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0042
3.56***

Persistence:

0.933

Half-life:

10 days