V-Lab
Sandon Capital Investments Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
1,366,194.00
decreased by 43,087.00
1 Week
1,403,897.00
decreased by 5,384.00
1 Month
1,298,916.19
decreased by 110,364.81
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 23, 2013 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4064 | 4.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1019 | 1.97** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2198 | 1.22 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -1.0952 | -1.69* |
| γ2 | 1.5329 | 1.59 |
| γ3 | -0.8658 | -1.41 |
| γ4 | 0.8877 | 1.74* |
| γ5 | -1.4871 | -2.66*** |
| γ6 | 3.3593 | 3.90*** |
| γ7 | -4.3523 | -3.91*** |
| γ8 | 1.8343 | 1.90* |
| γ9 | 1.6477 | 1.41 |
Persistence:
0.322
Half-life:
1 days
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