Sandon Capital Investments Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
2,079,175.00
decreased by 18,750.00
1 Week
2,045,711.60
decreased by 52,213.40
1 Month
1,831,280.64
decreased by 266,644.36
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 23, 2013 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4054 | 4.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1132 | 2.13** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -1.0858 | -1.73* |
| γ2 | 1.5059 | 1.62 |
| γ3 | -0.8134 | -1.36 |
| γ4 | 0.8167 | 1.62 |
| γ5 | -1.4297 | -2.61*** |
| γ6 | 3.2773 | 3.97*** |
| γ7 | -4.1279 | -3.98*** |
| γ8 | 1.4284 | 1.67* |
| γ9 | 2.3792 | 2.03** |
Persistence:
0.113
Half-life:
0 days
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