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Sandon Capital Investments Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

542,836.80

decreased by 37,897.10

1 Week

565,750.66

decreased by 14,983.24

1 Month

581,460.71

increased by 726.81

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 06:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sandon Capital Investments Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 23, 2013 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4118
4.18***
αARCH0.1065
1.95*
βGARCH0.2838
1.53
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-1.0650
-1.68*
γ21.4897
1.56
γ3-0.8354
-1.36
γ40.8085
1.62
γ5-1.2723
-2.34**
γ63.1321
3.52***
γ7-4.5957
-3.65***
γ82.8108
2.18**
γ9-0.1215
-0.09

0.390

Persistence

1d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4118
4.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1065
1.95*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2838
1.53
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-1.0650
-1.68*
γ21.4897
1.56
γ3-0.8354
-1.36
γ40.8085
1.62
γ5-1.2723
-2.34**
γ63.1321
3.52***
γ7-4.5957
-3.65***
γ82.8108
2.18**
γ9-0.1215
-0.09

Persistence:

0.390

Half-life:

1 days