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Sandon Capital Investments Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

1,163,265.00

increased by 4,252.00

1 Week

1,146,640.80

decreased by 12,372.20

1 Month

1,119,109.76

decreased by 39,903.24

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 06:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sandon Capital Investments Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 23, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4072
4.16***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1024
1.98**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2365
1.29
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-1.0902
-1.69*
γ21.5270
1.59
γ3-0.8647
-1.41
γ40.8801
1.73*
γ5-1.4583
-2.61***
γ63.3406
3.82***
γ7-4.4437
-3.83***
γ82.0743
1.98**
γ91.2948
1.07

Persistence:

0.339

Half-life:

1 days