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Oxford Lane Capital Corp. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

937.20

decreased by 59.96

1 Week

984.34

decreased by 12.82

1 Month

1,130.69

increased by 133.53

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Oxford Lane Capital Corp. ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 2011 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~99 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.2027
3.57***
αARCH0.1161
10.59***
βGARCH0.8769
68.26***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0019
0.26

0.993

Persistence

99d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2027
3.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1161
10.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8769
68.26***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0019
0.26

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

99 days