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V-Lab

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

1,258.08

increased by 208.49

1 Week

1,176.80

increased by 127.21

1 Month

1,412.90

increased by 363.31

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Oxford Lane Capital Corp. ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 113 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9765
2.54**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1180
10.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8758
68.97***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.1209
-0.97
γ20.2058
1.06
γ3-0.1352
-1.04
γ40.1156
0.84

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

113 days