Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

1,599.73

increased by 88.46

1 Week

1,493.68

decreased by 17.59

1 Month

1,094.43

decreased by 416.84

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Oxford Lane Capital Corp. ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 2011 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 104 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~104 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.1831
3.52***
αARCH0.1158
10.58***
βGARCH0.8775
68.50***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0016
0.23

0.993

Persistence

104d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1831
3.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1158
10.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8775
68.50***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0016
0.23

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

104 days