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V-Lab

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

1,434.02

decreased by 94.61

1 Week

1,526.00

decreased by 2.63

1 Month

1,285.54

decreased by 243.09

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Oxford Lane Capital Corp. ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 2011 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 70 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6120
4.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1252
10.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8650
63.17***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0069
1.25

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

70 days