Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

WAM Active Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

69,920.24

decreased by 1,343.90

1 Week

70,452.41

decreased by 811.73

1 Month

72,525.75

increased by 1,261.61

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of WAM Active Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 2008 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3552
5.32***
αARCH0.0936
4.36***
βGARCH0.8120
19.89***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.7067
-1.54
γ21.0472
1.53
γ30.0267
0.07
γ4-0.7808
-2.39**
γ50.7580
2.16**
γ6-0.8956
-2.21**
γ71.1673
2.44**
γ80.0012
0.00
γ9-3.0929
-2.32**
γ104.8589
2.41**

0.906

Persistence

7d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3552
5.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0936
4.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8120
19.89***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.7067
-1.54
γ21.0472
1.53
γ30.0267
0.07
γ4-0.7808
-2.39**
γ50.7580
2.16**
γ6-0.8956
-2.21**
γ71.1673
2.44**
γ80.0012
0.00
γ9-3.0929
-2.32**
γ104.8589
2.41**

Persistence:

0.906

Half-life:

7 days