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V-Lab

WAM Active Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

53,301.84

decreased by 5,461.80

1 Week

52,536.07

decreased by 6,227.57

1 Month

49,001.58

decreased by 9,762.06

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of WAM Active Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 2008 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4070
6.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1910
4.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4581
6.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.5227
-1.61
γ20.6894
1.40
γ30.3530
1.11
γ4-1.0366
-3.79***
γ50.9058
3.03***
γ6-0.8774
-2.53**
γ70.9039
2.06**
γ80.3788
0.52
γ9-3.0001
-2.53**
γ103.5880
2.35**

Persistence:

0.649

Half-life:

2 days