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WAM Active Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

80,025.45

increased by 3,371.29

1 Week

77,959.67

increased by 1,305.51

1 Month

72,872.83

decreased by 3,781.33

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of WAM Active Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 2008 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3542
5.32***
αARCH0.0933
4.35***
βGARCH0.8125
19.92***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.7073
-1.54
γ21.0480
1.53
γ30.0263
0.07
γ4-0.7806
-2.39**
γ50.7584
2.16**
γ6-0.8962
-2.21**
γ71.1682
2.45**
γ8-0.0010
0.00
γ9-3.0874
-2.32**
γ104.8387
2.44**

0.906

Persistence

7d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3542
5.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0933
4.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8125
19.92***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.7073
-1.54
γ21.0480
1.53
γ30.0263
0.07
γ4-0.7806
-2.39**
γ50.7584
2.16**
γ6-0.8962
-2.21**
γ71.1682
2.45**
γ8-0.0010
0.00
γ9-3.0874
-2.32**
γ104.8387
2.44**

Persistence:

0.906

Half-life:

7 days