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WAM Active Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

50,157.76

decreased by 4,334.73

1 Week

55,211.31

increased by 718.82

1 Month

54,927.14

increased by 434.65

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of WAM Active Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 2008 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4035
6.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1941
4.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4327
5.75***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.5118
-1.59
γ20.6664
1.36
γ30.3764
1.19
γ4-1.0554
-3.87***
γ50.9168
3.07***
γ6-0.8714
-2.51**
γ70.8584
1.93*
γ80.4643
0.63
γ9-3.0529
-2.59***
γ103.5522
2.38**

Persistence:

0.627

Half-life:

1 days