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WAM Active Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

81,068.77

increased by 8,149.38

1 Week

75,712.61

increased by 2,793.22

1 Month

72,776.54

decreased by 142.85

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 12:49 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of WAM Active Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 2008 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3570
5.25***
αARCH0.0941
4.39***
βGARCH0.8172
20.89***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.7181
-1.54
γ21.0704
1.54
γ30.0008
0.00
γ4-0.7541
-2.28**
γ50.7367
2.08**
γ6-0.8921
-2.20**
γ71.2077
2.58***
γ8-0.0826
-0.11
γ9-3.0670
-2.29**
γ105.0402
2.43**

0.911

Persistence

7d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3570
5.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0941
4.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8172
20.89***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.7181
-1.54
γ21.0704
1.54
γ30.0008
0.00
γ4-0.7541
-2.28**
γ50.7367
2.08**
γ6-0.8921
-2.20**
γ71.2077
2.58***
γ8-0.0826
-0.11
γ9-3.0670
-2.29**
γ105.0402
2.43**

Persistence:

0.911

Half-life:

7 days