V-Lab
WAM Active Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
50,339.97
increased by 3,937.58
1 Week
48,104.20
increased by 1,701.81
1 Month
49,255.65
increased by 2,853.26
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 11, 2008 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3557 | 5.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0950 | 4.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7916 | 17.27*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.6767 | -1.55 |
| γ2 | 0.9812 | 1.51 |
| γ3 | 0.1069 | 0.28 |
| γ4 | -0.8614 | -2.70*** |
| γ5 | 0.8173 | 2.36** |
| γ6 | -0.9023 | -2.21** |
| γ7 | 1.0546 | 2.09** |
| γ8 | 0.2252 | 0.28 |
| γ9 | -3.1308 | -2.39** |
| γ10 | 4.2007 | 2.36** |
Persistence:
0.887
Half-life:
6 days
Other WAM Active Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Closed-end Funds