Skip to main content
V-Lab

WAM Active Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

50,339.97

increased by 3,937.58

1 Week

48,104.20

increased by 1,701.81

1 Month

49,255.65

increased by 2,853.26

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of WAM Active Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 2008 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3557
5.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0950
4.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7916
17.27***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.6767
-1.55
γ20.9812
1.51
γ30.1069
0.28
γ4-0.8614
-2.70***
γ50.8173
2.36**
γ6-0.9023
-2.21**
γ71.0546
2.09**
γ80.2252
0.28
γ9-3.1308
-2.39**
γ104.2007
2.36**

Persistence:

0.887

Half-life:

6 days