UBS CH Property Fund - Swiss Mixed Sima Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
2,033.43
increased by 390.65
1 Week
1,571.29
decreased by 71.49
1 Month
1,587.73
decreased by 55.05
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 23, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3586 | 4.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1268 | 9.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8224 | 32.09*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.0142 | -3.95*** |
| γ2 | 0.0210 | 4.48*** |
| γ3 | -0.0095 | -3.15*** |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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