V-Lab
UBS CH Property Fund - Swiss Mixed Sima Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
2,420.69
increased by 293.77
1 Week
2,061.76
decreased by 65.16
1 Month
1,826.42
decreased by 300.50
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:44 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 23, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3617 | 4.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1271 | 9.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8219 | 32.00*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.0140 | -3.94*** |
| γ2 | 0.0208 | 4.46*** |
| γ3 | -0.0092 | -3.07*** |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
Other UBS CH Property Fund - Swiss Mixed Sima Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Closed-end Funds