Acorn Capital Investment Fund Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
569,109.40
increased by 271,078.80
1 Week
301,534.63
increased by 3,504.03
1 Month
769,738.85
increased by 471,708.25
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 1, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 100 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 6.0534 | 0.91 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.9931 | 64.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -0.0688 | -0.28 |
| γ2 | -0.0633 | -0.18 |
| γ3 | 0.2446 | 0.56 |
| γ4 | 0.0931 | 0.20 |
| γ5 | 0.0631 | 0.14 |
| γ6 | -2.2510 | -2.11** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
100 days
Other Acorn Capital Investment Fund Limited Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Closed-end Funds