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Acorn Capital Investment Fund Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

22,096.50

decreased by 91,101.50

1 Week

81,973.38

decreased by 31,224.62

1 Month

292,674.44

increased by 179,476.44

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Acorn Capital Investment Fund Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 1, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 96 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.9052
0.89
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.9928
60.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.0796
-0.32
γ2-0.0457
-0.13
γ30.2356
0.57
γ40.1156
0.26
γ5-0.0219
-0.05
γ6-2.1636
-2.03**

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

96 days