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Acorn Capital Investment Fund Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

393,993.50

increased by 308,621.06

1 Week

297,518.54

increased by 212,146.10

1 Month

433,170.71

increased by 347,798.27

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Acorn Capital Investment Fund Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 1, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 104 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.1640
0.94
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.9934
68.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.0736
-0.30
γ2-0.0560
-0.16
γ30.2433
0.57
γ40.0960
0.21
γ50.0392
0.09
γ6-2.2708
-2.12**

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

104 days