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Acorn Capital Investment Fund Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

569,109.40

increased by 271,078.80

1 Week

301,534.63

increased by 3,504.03

1 Month

769,738.85

increased by 471,708.25

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Acorn Capital Investment Fund Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 1, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 100 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.0534
0.91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.9931
64.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.0688
-0.28
γ2-0.0633
-0.18
γ30.2446
0.56
γ40.0931
0.20
γ50.0631
0.14
γ6-2.2510
-2.11**

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

100 days