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Acorn Capital Investment Fund Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

73,357.93

decreased by 351,612.67

1 Week

257,330.81

decreased by 167,639.79

1 Month

439,016.52

increased by 14,045.92

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 05:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Acorn Capital Investment Fund Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 1, 2014 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 85 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.6056
0.80
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.9918
47.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.0485
0.04
γ2-0.1912
-0.09
γ3-0.1397
-0.08
γ40.7702
0.55
γ5-1.2540
-1.38
γ62.3098
3.13***
γ7-2.8076
-2.46**
γ82.9572
1.77*
γ9-4.1293
-1.79*
γ102.1206
0.66

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

85 days