V-Lab
Neuberger Private Equity Partners Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
12,447.02
decreased by 613.28
1 Week
12,519.32
decreased by 540.98
1 Month
14,269.95
increased by 1,209.65
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 08:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 13, 2009 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9225 | 4.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0991 | 5.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8269 | 30.32*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -0.4814 | -3.31*** |
| γ2 | 0.7153 | 3.67*** |
| γ3 | -0.2526 | -2.61*** |
| γ4 | 0.0381 | 0.41 |
| γ5 | -0.0556 | -0.67 |
| γ6 | 0.1186 | 1.23 |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
Other Neuberger Private Equity Partners Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Closed-end Funds