V-Lab
Neuberger Private Equity Partners Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
10,650.90
increased by 16.57
1 Week
10,367.04
decreased by 267.29
1 Month
10,806.81
increased by 172.48
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:47 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 13, 2009 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9303 | 4.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0991 | 5.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8275 | 30.53*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | -0.4773 | -3.30*** |
| γ2 | 0.7100 | 3.65*** |
| γ3 | -0.2503 | -2.60*** |
| γ4 | 0.0337 | 0.36 |
| γ5 | -0.0441 | -0.54 |
| γ6 | 0.0816 | 0.88 |
Persistence:
0.927
Half-life:
9 days
Other Neuberger Private Equity Partners Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Closed-end Funds