V-Lab
Neuberger Private Equity Partners Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
10,613.58
1 Week
10,232.61
1 Month
10,749.19
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:45 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 13, 2009 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1195 | 0.90 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7516 | 14.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1195 | -0.38 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.16 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0922 | 2.52** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9078 | 10.51*** |
Persistence:
0.811
Half-life:
3 days
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