Neuberger Private Equity Partners Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
16,235.80
1 Week
15,567.73
1 Month
14,534.36
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 13, 2009 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1299 | 0.87 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7169 | 15.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1299 | -0.38 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.24 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0500 | 1.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9500 | 48.74*** |
Persistence:
0.782
Half-life:
3 days
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