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PM Capital Global Opportunities Fund Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

11,515.46

decreased by 652.40

1 Week

11,258.80

decreased by 909.06

1 Month

10,846.19

decreased by 1,321.67

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of PM Capital Global Opportunities Fund Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 12, 2013 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1397
0.15
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6695
12.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1397
-0.07
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.02
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4272
0.27
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5728
0.42

Persistence:

0.739

Half-life:

2 days