V-Lab
BB Biotech AG ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
22,771.73
1 Week
24,357.10
1 Month
25,233.41
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 16, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 47 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 47 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0732 | 3.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9268 | 227.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0293 | -0.75 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 4.31*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9934 | 655.30*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
47 days
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