V-Lab
JPMorgan UK Small CAP Growth & Income PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
9,627.51
1 Week
17,217.45
1 Month
11,855.79
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.5255 | 3.16*** |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
| γleverage | -0.5000 | -1.41 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.02 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.5231 | 3.76*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.4769 | 5.30*** |
0.276
Persistence1d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5255 | 3.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -1.41 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5231 | 3.76*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4769 | 5.30*** |
Persistence:
0.276
Half-life:
1 days
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