NAOS Small Cap Opportunities C ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
35,305,430.00
1 Week
202,053,208.00
1 Month
48,004,166.82
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 25, 2004 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3463 | 0.17 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4604 | 7.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2611 | 0.07 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0145 | 0.18 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9855 | 37.17*** |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
Other NAOS Small Cap Opportunities C Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on Closed-end Funds