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NAOS Small Cap Opportunities C ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

4,619,221.00

increased by 277,455.00

1 Week

4,232,300.60

decreased by 109,465.40

1 Month

52,478,459.86

increased by 48,136,693.86

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NAOS Small Cap Opportunities C ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 25, 2004 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3489
0.17
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4540
9.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2661
0.07
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0143
0.18
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9857
38.50***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

10 days