How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	126
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0313	1.22
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9767	143.63***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0260	-0.44
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	0.00
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0000	0.05
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	1.0000	68.24***

V-Lab

Thorney Opportunities Ltd/Fund ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Thorney Opportunities Ltd/Fund Analyses