V-Lab
Plato Income Maximiser Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
8,571.33
1 Week
9,010.41
1 Month
9,426.96
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0584 | 4.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9055 | 128.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0584 | -2.54** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4629 | 0.15 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9993 | 234.63*** |
Persistence:
0.935
Half-life:
10 days
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