V-Lab
Plato Income Maximiser Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
7,505.16
1 Week
7,498.99
1 Month
7,782.37
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2017 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0589 | 4.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9043 | 131.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0589 | -2.54** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1390 | 0.05 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9993 | 233.54*** |
Persistence:
0.934
Half-life:
10 days
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