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V-Lab

Plato Income Maximiser Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

8,571.33

decreased by 209.83

1 Week

9,010.41

increased by 229.25

1 Month

9,426.96

increased by 645.80

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Plato Income Maximiser Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0584
4.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9055
128.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0584
-2.54**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4629
0.15
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9993
234.63***

Persistence:

0.935

Half-life:

10 days