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V-Lab

Plato Income Maximiser Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

7,505.16

decreased by 466.44

1 Week

7,498.99

decreased by 472.61

1 Month

7,782.37

decreased by 189.23

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Plato Income Maximiser Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2017 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0589
4.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9043
131.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0589
-2.54**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1390
0.05
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9993
233.54***

Persistence:

0.934

Half-life:

10 days