V-Lab
Argo Global Listed Infrastructure Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
72,824.35
1 Week
65,039.16
1 Month
50,970.73
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 05:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2015 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.0925 | 6.52*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8763 | 48.03*** |
| γleverage | -0.0029 | -0.35 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 71,631.9339 |
0.967
Persistence21d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0925 | 6.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8763 | 48.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0029 | -0.35 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 71,631.9339 |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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