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UBS (CH) Property Fund - Direct LivingPlus ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
5,644.02
1 Week
4,678.19
1 Month
4,911.72
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 6, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1154 | 0.52 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7785 | 45.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1154 | -0.26 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.48** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0441 | 2.47** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9519 | 13.05*** |
Persistence:
0.836
Half-life:
4 days
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