Sandon Capital Investments Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
1,648,664.00
1 Week
1,435,488.90
1 Month
915,556.33
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 08:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 23, 2013 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3510 | 0.88 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7880 | 21.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3510 | -0.47 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0001 | 0.09 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9999 | 28.94*** |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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