V-Lab
Sandon Capital Investments Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
838,907.20
1 Week
999,276.64
1 Month
962,518.30
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 06:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 23, 2013 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.3469 | 0.61 |
| βGARCH | 0.7911 | 5.27*** |
| γleverage | -0.3469 | -0.41 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 2,184,625.9226 |
0.965
Persistence19d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3469 | 0.61 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7911 | 5.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3469 | -0.41 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2,184,625.9226 |
Persistence:
0.965
Half-life:
19 days
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