V-Lab
Sandon Capital Investments Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
1,080,811.00
1 Week
1,077,974.80
1 Month
1,102,638.10
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 23, 2013 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3504 | 0.91 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7884 | 22.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3504 | -0.49 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0001 | 0.07 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9999 | 28.01*** |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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