{name} Model Equation

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	26
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1463	0.33
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.6729	31.18***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.1463	-0.16
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	0.22
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0490	0.35
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9510	64.96***

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