V-Lab
Cadence Capital Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
57,377.98
1 Week
58,322.92
1 Month
76,655.92
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 5, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1468 | 0.33 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6726 | 31.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1468 | -0.16 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.22 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0489 | 0.35 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9511 | 65.55*** |
Persistence:
0.746
Half-life:
2 days
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