V-Lab
Schroder AsiaPacific Fund PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
7,983.28
1 Week
8,330.95
1 Month
9,550.47
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 08:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.0820 | 9.78*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9048 | 99.28*** |
| γleverage | -0.0820 | -5.35*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 1.5531 | 1.02 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9990 | 247.89*** |
0.946
Persistence12d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0820 | 9.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9048 | 99.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0820 | -5.35*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.5531 | 1.02 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9990 | 247.89*** |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
12 days
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