UBS (CH) Property Fund - Swiss Residential Siat ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Last recorded values (Tuesday, November 23rd, 2021):
1 Day
3,950.32
1 Week
3,326.79
1 Month
3,886.20
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 22, 2021 at 08:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 28, 1994 to Nov 19, 2021Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 387 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1568 | 1.55 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7425 | 27.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1978 | 1.31 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.25 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0261 | 4.06*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9739 | 88.66*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
387 days
Other UBS (CH) Property Fund - Swiss Residential Siat Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on Closed-end Funds