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UBS (CH) Property Fund - Swiss Residential Siat ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

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Last recorded values (Tuesday, November 23rd, 2021):

1 Day

3,950.32

1 Week

3,326.79

1 Month

3,886.20

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 22, 2021 at 08:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of UBS (CH) Property Fund - Swiss Residential Siat ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 28, 1994 to Nov 19, 2021

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 387 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1568
1.55
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7425
27.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1978
1.31
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.25
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0261
4.06***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9739
88.66***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

387 days