Skip to main content
V-Lab

Tetragon Financial Group Ltd/Fund ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

161,947.30

decreased by 24,495.10

1 Week

234,519.08

increased by 48,076.68

1 Month

687,342.95

increased by 500,900.55

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tetragon Financial Group Ltd/Fund ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

111
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3327
0.21
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8286
62.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3327
-0.13
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.25
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.17
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6542
5.05***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

138 days