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Tetragon Financial Group Ltd/Fund Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

323,280.90

decreased by 9,977.80

1 Week

343,403.88

increased by 10,145.18

1 Month

408,439.38

increased by 75,180.68

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tetragon Financial Group Ltd/Fund ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.03
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0321
4.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9700
394.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0043
-0.62

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-