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BB Biotech AG Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

22,449.53

increased by 1,231.85

1 Week

23,816.54

increased by 2,598.86

1 Month

24,400.49

increased by 3,182.81

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 06:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of BB Biotech AG ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 16, 2000 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 31% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.89
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1190
32.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8623
913.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0374
5.03***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days