Skip to main content
V-Lab

NAOS Small Cap Opportunities C Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

2,171,846.00

decreased by 15,599.00

1 Week

2,204,938.80

increased by 17,493.80

1 Month

2,311,059.86

increased by 123,614.86

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NAOS Small Cap Opportunities C ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 25, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.03
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0154
3.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9922
677.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0153
-3.10***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-