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Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

15,203.58

decreased by 513.16

1 Week

15,720.15

increased by 3.41

1 Month

15,470.01

decreased by 246.73

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 4, 2022 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 130% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0258
3.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9574
199.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0336
2.48**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-