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Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

17,929.84

decreased by 355.47

1 Week

18,212.68

decreased by 72.63

1 Month

16,785.10

decreased by 1,500.21

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 4, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 143% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0249
2.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9573
200.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0357
2.77***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-