V-Lab
UBS CH Property Fund - Swiss Mixed Sima Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
1,831.64
decreased by 45.64
1 Week
1,884.78
increased by 7.50
1 Month
1,774.30
decreased by 102.98
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 23, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 370 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.02** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0193 | 5.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9730 | 533.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0116 | 1.44 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
370 days
Other UBS CH Property Fund - Swiss Mixed Sima Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Closed-end Funds