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Katana Capital Ltd/Fund Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

349,324,500.00

decreased by 4,126,300.00

1 Week

351,387,650.00

decreased by 2,063,150.00

1 Month

363,424,580.00

increased by 9,973,780.00

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 05:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Katana Capital Ltd/Fund ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 27, 2005 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0100
2.55**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9883
577.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0034
0.38

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-