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Katana Capital Ltd/Fund Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

284,063,400.00

decreased by 3,330,200.00

1 Week

285,728,500.00

decreased by 1,665,100.00

1 Month

295,557,650.00

increased by 8,164,050.00

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Katana Capital Ltd/Fund ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 27, 2005 to Sep 28, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.00
αARCH0.0098
0.64
βGARCH0.9884
145.89***
γleverage0.0035
0.10

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0098
0.64
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9884
145.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0035
0.10

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-