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BioPharma Credit PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

4,661.07

decreased by 61.70

1 Week

4,870.77

increased by 148.00

1 Month

3,543.01

decreased by 1,179.76

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:57 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of BioPharma Credit PLC ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 24, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.79
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0667
13.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9255
335.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0156
1.19

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-