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BioPharma Credit PLC Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

3,143.31

decreased by 249.86

1 Week

3,466.04

increased by 72.87

1 Month

4,166.40

increased by 773.23

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of BioPharma Credit PLC ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 24, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.79
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0668
13.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9249
330.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0166
1.26

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-