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Cadence Capital Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

76,812.17

decreased by 2,319.05

1 Week

81,459.04

increased by 2,327.82

1 Month

80,276.80

increased by 1,145.58

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cadence Capital Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 75% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.25
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0322
12.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9556
471.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0243
3.07***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days