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MFF Capital Investments Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

4,512.76

decreased by 30.87

1 Week

4,288.12

decreased by 255.51

1 Month

4,290.97

decreased by 252.66

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MFF Capital Investments Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 19, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0716
17.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9198
248.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0171
1.91*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-