V-Lab
WAM Active Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
580,107.40
decreased by 2,936.30
1 Week
586,701.36
increased by 3,657.66
1 Month
615,790.53
increased by 32,746.83
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 11, 2008 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0112 | 1.21 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9936 | 2,065.78*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0097 | -1.02 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
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