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ArrowMark Financial Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

7,747.08

decreased by 256.16

1 Week

8,249.90

increased by 246.66

1 Month

9,156.25

increased by 1,153.01

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ArrowMark Financial Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 7, 2013 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.07
αARCH0.0770
5.08***
βGARCH0.9081
105.86***
γleverage0.0298
1.15

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.07
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0770
5.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9081
105.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0298
1.15

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-