V-Lab
Barramundi Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
128,075.20
decreased by 688.80
1 Week
129,558.50
increased by 794.50
1 Month
138,014.25
increased by 9,250.25
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:46 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.03 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0088 | 6.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9869 | 646.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0086 | 1.79* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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