Barramundi Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026
1 Day
201,871.40
increased by 30,624.70
1 Week
191,369.48
increased by 20,122.78
1 Month
229,105.04
increased by 57,858.34
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 07:23 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 2006 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.2296 | 3.96*** |
| αARCH | 0.2631 | 2.74*** |
| βGARCH | 0.0945 | 1.40 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -1.0869 | -3.65*** |
| γ2 | 1.1744 | 2.88*** |
| γ3 | 0.0112 | 0.06 |
| γ4 | -0.0502 | -0.22 |
| γ5 | -0.1508 | -0.45 |
| γ6 | -0.0930 | -0.26 |
| γ7 | 0.6775 | 2.68*** |
| γ8 | -1.0261 | -6.60*** |
| γ9 | 1.0533 | 6.10*** |
0.358
Persistence1d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2296 | 3.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2631 | 2.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0945 | 1.40 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -1.0869 | -3.65*** |
| γ2 | 1.1744 | 2.88*** |
| γ3 | 0.0112 | 0.06 |
| γ4 | -0.0502 | -0.22 |
| γ5 | -0.1508 | -0.45 |
| γ6 | -0.0930 | -0.26 |
| γ7 | 0.6775 | 2.68*** |
| γ8 | -1.0261 | -6.60*** |
| γ9 | 1.0533 | 6.10*** |
Persistence:
0.358
Half-life:
1 days
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