Barramundi Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
148,797.10
increased by 29,014.00
1 Week
133,430.12
increased by 13,647.02
1 Month
158,640.62
increased by 38,857.52
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 2006 to Jul 9, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2191 | 3.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2640 | 2.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1182 | 1.54 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -1.2502 | -3.31*** |
| γ2 | 1.2732 | 2.57** |
| γ3 | 0.0342 | 0.15 |
| γ4 | 0.1367 | 0.66 |
| γ5 | -0.3876 | -2.37** |
| γ6 | 0.2278 | 1.01 |
| γ7 | -0.3055 | -0.79 |
| γ8 | 0.9386 | 2.63*** |
| γ9 | -1.4407 | -6.10*** |
| γ10 | 1.4164 | 6.11*** |
Persistence:
0.382
Half-life:
1 days
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