V-Lab
Barramundi Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
167,133.80
increased by 27,568.80
1 Week
154,141.14
increased by 14,576.14
1 Month
155,161.88
increased by 15,596.88
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2210 | 3.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2727 | 2.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1248 | 1.62 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -1.2420 | -3.32*** |
| γ2 | 1.2671 | 2.58*** |
| γ3 | 0.0315 | 0.14 |
| γ4 | 0.1390 | 0.66 |
| γ5 | -0.3972 | -2.34** |
| γ6 | 0.2366 | 1.17 |
| γ7 | -0.2890 | -0.80 |
| γ8 | 0.8991 | 2.58*** |
| γ9 | -1.4160 | -6.02*** |
| γ10 | 1.4287 | 6.28*** |
Persistence:
0.397
Half-life:
1 days
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