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Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

28,663.51

decreased by 2,250.28

1 Week

30,732.59

decreased by 181.20

1 Month

29,143.22

decreased by 1,770.57

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 12:54 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2014 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5616
11.49***
αARCH0.1040
6.43***
βGARCH0.8423
36.08***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0080
-1.98**

0.946

Persistence

13d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5616
11.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1040
6.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8423
36.08***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0080
-1.98**

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

13 days