V-Lab
Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
27,919.15
increased by 1,130.42
1 Week
24,535.42
decreased by 2,253.31
1 Month
25,308.11
decreased by 1,480.62
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5497 | 11.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1042 | 6.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8432 | 36.52*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0085 | -2.03** |
Persistence:
0.947
Half-life:
13 days
Other Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Closed-end Funds