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Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

32,940.19

increased by 5,233.25

1 Week

29,640.30

increased by 1,933.36

1 Month

33,974.05

increased by 6,267.11

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2014 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5616
11.44***
αARCH0.1044
6.44***
βGARCH0.8420
35.98***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0079
-1.94*

0.946

Persistence

13d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5616
11.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1044
6.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8420
35.98***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0079
-1.94*

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

13 days