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Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

27,919.15

increased by 1,130.42

1 Week

24,535.42

decreased by 2,253.31

1 Month

25,308.11

decreased by 1,480.62

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5497
11.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1042
6.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8432
36.52***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0085
-2.03**

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days