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V-Lab

L1 Global Long Short Fund Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

9,608.43

increased by 887.72

1 Week

8,454.44

decreased by 266.27

1 Month

9,049.23

increased by 328.52

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of L1 Global Long Short Fund Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 1994 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 27 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7558
7.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1030
12.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8720
87.16***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.0668
-5.01***
γ20.1270
6.27***
γ3-0.1202
-8.37***
γ40.1157
8.09***
γ5-0.1282
-6.88***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days