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V-Lab

L1 Global Long Short Fund Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

9,700.26

decreased by 28.95

1 Week

9,902.64

increased by 173.43

1 Month

8,698.70

decreased by 1,030.51

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 05:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of L1 Global Long Short Fund Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 1994 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 28 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7606
7.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1028
12.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8725
87.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.0665
-4.98***
γ20.1263
6.22***
γ3-0.1195
-8.29***
γ40.1153
8.00***
γ5-0.1282
-6.87***

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

28 days