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Argo Global Listed Infrastructure Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

70,973.72

increased by 374.87

1 Week

62,748.00

decreased by 7,850.85

1 Month

47,610.53

decreased by 22,988.32

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 05:48 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Argo Global Listed Infrastructure Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2015 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 21 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4807
7.90***
αARCH0.1011
6.07***
βGARCH0.8672
41.64***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0092
-1.59

0.968

Persistence

21d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4807
7.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1011
6.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8672
41.64***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0092
-1.59

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days