V-Lab
Argo Global Listed Infrastructure Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
68,038.85
increased by 222.94
1 Week
61,271.77
decreased by 6,544.14
1 Month
52,432.77
decreased by 15,383.14
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2015 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4753 | 7.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1007 | 6.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8683 | 41.81*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0092 | -1.53 |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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