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Argo Global Listed Infrastructure Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

76,427.12

increased by 7,232.37

1 Week

74,857.19

increased by 5,662.44

1 Month

76,274.92

increased by 7,080.17

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 12:35 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Argo Global Listed Infrastructure Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2015 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4884
7.91***
αARCH0.1014
6.12***
βGARCH0.8669
41.78***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0087
-1.52

0.968

Persistence

22d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4884
7.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1014
6.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8669
41.78***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0087
-1.52

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

22 days