V-Lab
Argo Global Listed Infrastructure Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
41,561.98
decreased by 1,499.72
1 Week
42,353.10
decreased by 708.60
1 Month
50,478.42
increased by 7,416.72
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 05:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2015 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4661 | 7.85*** |
| αARCH | 0.0995 | 6.01*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8696 | 42.11*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0098 | -1.66* |
0.969
Persistence22d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4661 | 7.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0995 | 6.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8696 | 42.11*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0098 | -1.66* |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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