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Argo Global Listed Infrastructure Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

41,561.98

decreased by 1,499.72

1 Week

42,353.10

decreased by 708.60

1 Month

50,478.42

increased by 7,416.72

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 05:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Argo Global Listed Infrastructure Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2015 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4661
7.85***
αARCH0.0995
6.01***
βGARCH0.8696
42.11***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0098
-1.66*

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4661
7.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0995
6.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8696
42.11***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0098
-1.66*

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days