V-Lab
Argo Global Listed Infrastructure Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
50,941.48
increased by 4,415.66
1 Week
47,699.24
increased by 1,173.42
1 Month
55,769.12
increased by 9,243.30
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 3, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4685 | 7.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0996 | 6.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8694 | 42.08*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0096 | -1.61 |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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