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V-Lab

MFF Capital Investments Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

4,268.35

decreased by 30.47

1 Week

4,829.97

increased by 531.15

1 Month

6,074.86

increased by 1,776.04

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MFF Capital Investments Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 19, 2006 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5585
6.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1283
5.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8104
26.64***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.3631
-8.34***
γ20.4660
7.44***
γ3-0.1014
-3.15***
γ4-0.0075
-0.29
γ50.0019
0.04

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days