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V-Lab

MFF Capital Investments Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

5,979.73

decreased by 202.56

1 Week

5,617.87

decreased by 564.42

1 Month

5,050.94

decreased by 1,131.35

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MFF Capital Investments Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 19, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5612
6.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1285
5.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8104
26.79***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.3612
-8.37***
γ20.4646
7.47***
γ3-0.1030
-3.22***
γ4-0.0048
-0.19
γ5-0.0055
-0.14

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days