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V-Lab

MFF Capital Investments Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

5,090.44

increased by 465.95

1 Week

4,642.85

increased by 18.36

1 Month

5,562.71

increased by 938.22

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of MFF Capital Investments Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 19, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 11 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5636
7.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1285
5.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8106
26.88***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.3592
-8.40***
γ20.4630
7.51***
γ3-0.1045
-3.30***
γ4-0.0020
-0.08
γ5-0.0134
-0.35

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days