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V-Lab

Bailador Technology Investments Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

253,027.90

decreased by 48,179.10

1 Week

302,465.32

increased by 1,258.32

1 Month

201,459.70

decreased by 99,747.30

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bailador Technology Investments Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2014 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.5454
2.31**
αARCH0.1788
4.37***
βGARCH0.6821
11.45***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.8607
-0.93
γ23.7795
1.30
γ3-3.5438
-2.42**
γ43.0718
2.61***
γ5-3.0459
-2.06**
γ62.9033
2.29**
γ7-1.8787
-2.66***
γ80.8315
1.60
γ9-0.4301
-0.65
γ100.9449
0.83

0.861

Persistence

5d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5454
2.31**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1788
4.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6821
11.45***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.8607
-0.93
γ23.7795
1.30
γ3-3.5438
-2.42**
γ43.0718
2.61***
γ5-3.0459
-2.06**
γ62.9033
2.29**
γ7-1.8787
-2.66***
γ80.8315
1.60
γ9-0.4301
-0.65
γ100.9449
0.83

Persistence:

0.861

Half-life:

5 days