Sherborne Investors (Guernsey) C Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, June 30th, 2026
1 Day
23,039,760,000.00
unchanged at 0.00
1 Week
19,037,272,000.00
decreased by 4,002,488,000.00
1 Month
15,565,160,500.00
decreased by 7,474,599,500.00
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 30, 2026 at 08:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 11, 2017 to Jun 26, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 67 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5937 | 1.18 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.9897 | 40.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 11.4769 | 1.10 |
| γ2 | -33.3499 | -2.12** |
| γ3 | 37.2632 | 3.48*** |
| γ4 | -25.4698 | -3.07*** |
| γ5 | 29.7295 | 2.69*** |
| γ6 | -44.9305 | -3.83*** |
| γ7 | 32.2310 | 5.48*** |
| γ8 | 9.0619 | 1.14 |
| γ9 | -39.8539 | -2.95*** |
| γ10 | 71.3677 | 4.42*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
67 days
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