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Sherborne Investors (Guernsey) C Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

22,883,980,000.00

decreased by 80,000.00

1 Week

22,883,980,000.00

decreased by 80,000.00

1 Month

21,909,426,666.67

decreased by 974,633,333.33

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 03:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sherborne Investors (Guernsey) C Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 11, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 101 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5592
1.02
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6627
2.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3305
1.35
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ111.8241
0.95
γ2-34.6814
-1.90*
γ338.4521
3.08***
γ4-23.9365
-2.39**
γ526.2507
1.99**
γ6-43.9079
-3.09***
γ737.2658
4.82***
γ8-4.3595
-0.66
γ9-17.1929
-1.42
γ1040.7271
2.55**

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

101 days