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Sherborne Investors (Guernsey) C Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

276,876,200.00

decreased by 7,600.00

1 Week

276,876,200.00

decreased by 7,600.00

1 Month

269,299,500.00

decreased by 7,584,300.00

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 09:01 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sherborne Investors (Guernsey) C Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 11, 2017 to Sep 29, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 115 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~115 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5982
1.05
αARCH0.6419
2.57**
βGARCH0.3520
1.41
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ111.5580
0.95
γ2-33.9608
-1.89*
γ337.5797
3.00***
γ4-22.7780
-2.23**
γ524.7728
1.83*
γ6-44.4488
-2.96***
γ742.7524
4.65***
γ8-13.9606
-2.16**
γ9-2.4773
-0.19
γ101.7645
0.09

0.994

Persistence

115d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5982
1.05
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6419
2.57**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3520
1.41
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ111.5580
0.95
γ2-33.9608
-1.89*
γ337.5797
3.00***
γ4-22.7780
-2.23**
γ524.7728
1.83*
γ6-44.4488
-2.96***
γ742.7524
4.65***
γ8-13.9606
-2.16**
γ9-2.4773
-0.19
γ101.7645
0.09

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

115 days