Skip to main content
V-Lab

Future Generation Australia Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

26,242.50

decreased by 1,065.00

1 Week

30,421.00

increased by 3,113.50

1 Month

29,196.23

increased by 1,888.73

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Future Generation Australia Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 1997 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 227 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7353
1.77*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1306
17.50***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8663
102.46***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.0123
-0.89
γ20.0571
2.08**
γ3-0.0975
-3.46***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

227 days