Skip to main content
V-Lab

Future Generation Australia Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

32,010.50

decreased by 1,410.56

1 Week

31,815.39

decreased by 1,605.67

1 Month

32,816.80

decreased by 604.26

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Future Generation Australia Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 1997 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 227 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7324
1.76*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1309
17.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8660
101.94***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.0129
-0.93
γ20.0583
2.10**
γ3-0.0976
-3.47***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

227 days