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ArrowMark Financial Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

8,969.12

decreased by 173.01

1 Week

9,556.48

increased by 414.35

1 Month

10,453.15

increased by 1,311.02

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ArrowMark Financial Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 7, 2013 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 33 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.9396
7.22***
αARCH0.1181
8.54***
βGARCH0.8612
55.98***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0177
-3.54***

0.979

Persistence

33d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9396
7.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1181
8.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8612
55.98***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0177
-3.54***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days