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ArrowMark Financial Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

23,147.40

decreased by 781.50

1 Week

21,065.83

decreased by 2,863.07

1 Month

16,251.54

decreased by 7,677.36

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ArrowMark Financial Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 7, 2013 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 32 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.9709
7.24***
αARCH0.1202
8.61***
βGARCH0.8586
55.24***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0168
-3.48***

0.979

Persistence

32d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9709
7.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1202
8.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8586
55.24***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0168
-3.48***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days