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V-Lab

ArrowMark Financial Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

9,448.41

decreased by 815.94

1 Week

10,733.26

increased by 468.91

1 Month

10,056.56

decreased by 207.79

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ArrowMark Financial Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 7, 2013 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 32 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9694
7.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1197
8.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8591
55.00***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0165
-3.20***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days