Skip to main content
V-Lab

ArrowMark Financial Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

10,694.41

decreased by 929.74

1 Week

11,719.74

increased by 95.59

1 Month

11,462.48

decreased by 161.67

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ArrowMark Financial Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 7, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 33 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9530
7.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1184
8.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8607
55.85***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0171
-3.41***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days