V-Lab
ArrowMark Financial Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
10,694.41
decreased by 929.74
1 Week
11,719.74
increased by 95.59
1 Month
11,462.48
decreased by 161.67
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 7, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 33 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9530 | 7.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1184 | 8.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8607 | 55.85*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0171 | -3.41*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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