V-Lab
Schroder AsiaPacific Fund PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
12,289.53
decreased by 996.23
1 Week
13,969.95
increased by 684.19
1 Month
11,994.88
decreased by 1,290.88
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 36 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7618 | 8.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0826 | 9.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8981 | 83.73*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.0211 | -3.95*** |
| γ2 | 0.0441 | 4.22*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
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