V-Lab
Schroder AsiaPacific Fund PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
10,098.34
increased by 121.87
1 Week
9,624.28
decreased by 352.19
1 Month
11,750.67
increased by 1,774.20
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 02:13 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 35 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7675 | 8.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0823 | 9.26*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8983 | 83.85*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.0207 | -3.93*** |
| γ2 | 0.0431 | 4.18*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
35 days
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