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NAOS Small Cap Opportunities C Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

17,157,290.00

decreased by 185,450.00

1 Week

17,181,780.00

decreased by 160,960.00

1 Month

20,183,490.48

increased by 2,840,750.48

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NAOS Small Cap Opportunities C ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 25, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 48 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8273
2.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1901
7.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7957
32.62***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.2135
0.82
γ2-0.1370
-0.34
γ3-0.3027
-1.01
γ40.5238
1.76*
γ5-1.2844
-2.12**
γ63.0531
2.22**
γ7-4.3047
-2.48**
γ84.6102
2.81***
γ9-4.1673
-2.65***
γ102.8269
1.74*

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days