Skip to main content
V-Lab

NAOS Small Cap Opportunities C Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

21,529,940.00

decreased by 1,396,470.00

1 Week

24,849,290.00

increased by 1,922,880.00

1 Month

75,667,124.76

increased by 52,740,714.76

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NAOS Small Cap Opportunities C ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 25, 2004 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 55 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8818
2.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1870
7.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8004
34.24***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.1996
0.74
γ2-0.1104
-0.27
γ3-0.3344
-1.08
γ40.5784
1.82*
γ5-1.5616
-2.05**
γ63.7722
2.08**
γ7-5.2129
-2.30**
γ85.3310
2.58***
γ9-4.5766
-2.43**
γ102.9204
1.64

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

55 days