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V-Lab

Naos Emerging Opportunities Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

1,662,381.00

increased by 232,947.00

1 Week

1,542,925.20

increased by 113,491.20

1 Month

2,590,723.90

increased by 1,161,289.90

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Naos Emerging Opportunities Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3627
3.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1696
4.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7187
12.30***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ11.6256
1.95*
γ2-1.8084
-1.41
γ30.3390
0.42
γ4-0.0035
0.00
γ5-1.0250
-1.47
γ61.8114
2.29**
γ7-1.3094
-1.37
γ81.8060
1.17
γ9-2.8273
-0.95
γ10-0.5355
-0.12

Persistence:

0.888

Half-life:

6 days