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Naos Emerging Opportunities Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

10,380,450.00

increased by 52,830.00

1 Week

11,228,366.00

increased by 900,746.00

1 Month

11,351,936.82

increased by 1,024,316.82

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Naos Emerging Opportunities Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2013 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4308
3.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1823
3.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7272
13.67***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ11.5166
1.76*
γ2-1.5604
-1.18
γ30.0806
0.10
γ40.2361
0.29
γ5-1.2970
-1.65*
γ62.1055
2.15**
γ7-1.6064
-1.30
γ82.1309
1.07
γ9-3.1213
-0.93
γ100.6493
0.15

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days