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Naos Emerging Opportunities Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

5,273,641.00

increased by 158,318.00

1 Week

5,184,196.20

increased by 68,873.20

1 Month

4,482,352.95

decreased by 632,970.05

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Naos Emerging Opportunities Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2013 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3872
3.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1719
3.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7260
12.94***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ11.5925
1.88*
γ2-1.7280
-1.33
γ30.2534
0.31
γ40.0707
0.09
γ5-1.1082
-1.52
γ61.9066
2.23**
γ7-1.4113
-1.34
γ81.9200
1.13
γ9-2.9321
-0.94
γ10-0.0782
-0.02

Persistence:

0.898

Half-life:

6 days