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V-Lab

Plato Income Maximiser Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

8,281.83

decreased by 201.45

1 Week

8,714.86

increased by 231.58

1 Month

9,154.72

increased by 671.44

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Plato Income Maximiser Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2648
9.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0589
4.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8988
34.35***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0023
-0.31

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days