Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Plato Income Maximiser Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

9,982.82

decreased by 267.95

1 Week

10,712.94

increased by 462.17

1 Month

9,426.58

decreased by 824.19

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 05:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Plato Income Maximiser Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2017 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 15 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.3014
9.68***
αARCH0.0612
5.02***
βGARCH0.8940
33.30***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0002
-0.03

0.955

Persistence

15d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3014
9.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0612
5.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8940
33.30***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0002
-0.03

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days