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V-Lab

Plato Income Maximiser Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

7,329.37

decreased by 466.89

1 Week

7,318.65

decreased by 477.61

1 Month

7,554.62

decreased by 241.64

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Plato Income Maximiser Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2017 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2665
9.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0594
4.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8972
34.10***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0025
-0.33

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days