V-Lab
Plato Income Maximiser Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
8,281.83
decreased by 201.45
1 Week
8,714.86
increased by 231.58
1 Month
9,154.72
increased by 671.44
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2648 | 9.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0589 | 4.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8988 | 34.35*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0023 | -0.31 |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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