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Plato Income Maximiser Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

11,613.12

increased by 367.65

1 Week

11,667.79

increased by 422.32

1 Month

10,869.09

decreased by 376.38

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Plato Income Maximiser Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2017 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.3136
9.66***
αARCH0.0606
5.06***
βGARCH0.8961
33.94***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0005
0.07

0.957

Persistence

16d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3136
9.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0606
5.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8961
33.94***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0005
0.07

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days