V-Lab
Plato Income Maximiser Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
7,329.37
decreased by 466.89
1 Week
7,318.65
decreased by 477.61
1 Month
7,554.62
decreased by 241.64
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2017 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2665 | 9.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0594 | 4.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8972 | 34.10*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0025 | -0.33 |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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