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Plato Income Maximiser Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

7,209.08

decreased by 441.03

1 Week

8,010.34

increased by 360.23

1 Month

9,758.59

increased by 2,108.48

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 05:53 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Plato Income Maximiser Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2017 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.3051
9.71***
αARCH0.0600
5.03***
βGARCH0.8963
34.06***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0002
-0.02

0.956

Persistence

16d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3051
9.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0600
5.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8963
34.06***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0002
-0.02

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

16 days