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Plato Income Maximiser Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

9,474.91

decreased by 96.61

1 Week

9,790.07

increased by 218.55

1 Month

10,060.49

increased by 488.97

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Plato Income Maximiser Limited ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 64% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.39
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0282
12.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9628
556.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0180
4.28***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days