V-Lab
Plato Income Maximiser Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
9,474.91
1 Week
9,790.07
1 Month
10,060.49
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 64% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.39 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0282 | 12.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9628 | 556.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0180 | 4.28*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
Other Plato Income Maximiser Limited Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Closed-end Funds