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V-Lab

Cadence Capital Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

64,010.86

decreased by 5,395.52

1 Week

68,437.62

decreased by 968.76

1 Month

61,810.56

decreased by 7,595.82

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cadence Capital Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1435
5.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1259
4.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7194
15.99***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.8505
-2.74***
γ20.3697
0.73
γ31.0983
3.26***
γ4-0.4482
-2.14**
γ5-0.3766
-2.44**
γ60.3381
2.24**
γ7-0.3330
-1.97**
γ80.5998
3.30***
γ9-0.8569
-3.90***
γ100.7432
2.10**

Persistence:

0.845

Half-life:

4 days