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V-Lab

Cadence Capital Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

84,452.15

decreased by 11,737.79

1 Week

94,712.90

decreased by 1,477.04

1 Month

97,590.21

increased by 1,400.27

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 06:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cadence Capital Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2006 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1373
5.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1247
4.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7159
15.48***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.8515
-2.70***
γ20.3621
0.71
γ31.0954
3.23***
γ4-0.4087
-1.94*
γ5-0.4287
-2.73***
γ60.3933
2.58***
γ7-0.4091
-2.42**
γ80.6888
3.76***
γ9-0.9263
-3.99***
γ100.8334
2.10**

Persistence:

0.841

Half-life:

4 days