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V-Lab

Cadence Capital Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

50,997.28

decreased by 3,836.63

1 Week

51,875.09

decreased by 2,958.82

1 Month

70,511.27

increased by 15,677.36

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Cadence Capital Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1401
5.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1256
4.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7157
15.57***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.8509
-2.71***
γ20.3642
0.72
γ31.0969
3.25***
γ4-0.4225
-2.01**
γ5-0.4106
-2.63***
γ60.3738
2.46**
γ7-0.3816
-2.25**
γ80.6544
3.59***
γ9-0.8910
-3.94***
γ100.7582
2.04**

Persistence:

0.841

Half-life:

4 days