V-Lab
Bailador Technology Investments Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
157,061.20
1 Week
198,065.60
1 Month
112,143.41
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1600 | 6.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8240 | 154.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1429 | -2.95*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.3948 | 0.42 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9988 | 793.36*** |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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