Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bailador Technology Investments Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

112,004.50

increased by 24,527.58

1 Week

95,091.64

increased by 7,614.72

1 Month

110,239.45

increased by 22,762.53

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bailador Technology Investments Limited ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1568
5.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8265
156.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1412
-2.95***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.8322
0.51
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9988
820.06***

Persistence:

0.913

Half-life:

8 days